{"id":99386,"date":"2023-03-17T16:31:15","date_gmt":"2023-03-17T16:31:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=99386"},"modified":"2023-03-17T16:31:19","modified_gmt":"2023-03-17T16:31:19","slug":"la-ocde-sube-a-1-8-su-expectativa-de-crecimiento-para-mexico-en-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=99386","title":{"rendered":"La OCDE sube a 1.8% su expectativa de crecimiento para M\u00e9xico en 2023"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Por Redacci\u00f3n QP<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Luego del crecimiento de 3% del 2022, la econom\u00eda mexicana se desacelerar\u00e1 en 2023 para llegar a 1.8%, se\u00f1ala el organismo<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La Organizaci\u00f3n para la Cooperaci\u00f3n y Desarrollo Econ\u00f3micos (OCDE)\u00a0<strong>elev\u00f3 a 1.8% su previsi\u00f3n de crecimiento para la econom\u00eda de M\u00e9xico en 2023<\/strong>, estimaci\u00f3n mayor a las estimaciones de noviembre pasado, cuando se calcul\u00f3 un 1.6% para este a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Luego del crecimiento de 3% del 2022, la econom\u00eda mexicana se desacelerar\u00e1 en 2023 para llegar a 1.8%,<\/strong>&nbsp;de acuerdo con el organismo internacional.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Para el 2024 estim\u00f3 2.1% de crecimiento<\/strong>, que es el mismo pron\u00f3stico hecho en noviembre del a\u00f1o pasado, de acuerdo con el Panorama Econ\u00f3mico Provisional llamado &#8220;Una Fr\u00e1gil Recuperaci\u00f3n&#8221; de la OCDE.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En cuanto a la&nbsp;<strong>inflaci\u00f3n<\/strong>, consider\u00f3 que&nbsp;<strong>\u00e9sta bajar\u00e1 de 7.9% en 2022 a 5.9% en 2023 y para el 2024 llegar\u00e1 a 3.4%<\/strong>, es decir, quedar\u00e1 dentro de la meta del Banco de M\u00e9xico (Banxico).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>La OCDE calcul\u00f3 el crecimiento mundial en 2.6% para 2023 y subir\u00e1 en 2024 a 2.9%,<\/strong>\u00a0lo que significa una mejor\u00eda, aunque a\u00fan se observan riesgos, como la guerra en Ucrania y las consecuencias que tiene en todo el mundo; adem\u00e1s de que la restrictiva pol\u00edtica monetaria que se implementa para bajar la inflaci\u00f3n puede generar vulnerabilidades financieras sobre la deuda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Destaca signos positivos<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A pesar de ello, &#8220;hay signos positivos que han empezado a aparecer, con el sentimiento de los negocios y del consumidor que empieza a mejorar, los precios de la energ\u00eda y de los alimentos empiezan a caer y hay una apertura total de China&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Estados Unidos<\/strong>&nbsp;podr\u00e1 alcanzar un crecimiento en 2023 de 1.5%, lo que significa una mejora con respecto al pron\u00f3stico de 0.5% de noviembre pasado. En tanto que para el 2024 se proyecta una desaceleraci\u00f3n para llegar a 0.9por ciento.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>En Canad\u00e1<\/strong>, el otro socio comercial de M\u00e9xico de Am\u00e9rica del Norte, la estimaci\u00f3n de crecimiento es de 1.1% en 2023 y de 1.4% en 2024.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Brasil&nbsp;<\/strong>alcanzar\u00e1 1% en este a\u00f1o y 11% en el 2024, China 5.3 en el 2023 y para el siguiente a\u00f1o 4.9%, mientras que Rusia seguir\u00e1 con decrecimiento, ya que en este a\u00f1o se estima cierre con \u20132.5% y el pr\u00f3ximo -0.5 por ciento.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>El crecimiento de los precios en el mundo disminuir\u00e1 en el 2023,<\/strong>&nbsp;al esperar que en la mayor\u00eda de los pa\u00edses baje; aunque la Organizaci\u00f3n consider\u00f3 que ser\u00e1 hasta mediados del 2024 que logre alcanzar los objetivos de los bancos centrales.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Aunque habr\u00e1 pa\u00edses que seguir\u00e1n con altos niveles de inflaci\u00f3n, como Argentina que es el pa\u00eds con mayor tasa inflacionaria. Se estima que se reduzca de 95% en 2022 a 85% en 2023 y a 75% en 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pol\u00edtica monetaria restrictiva seguir\u00e1<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Para la OCDE la pol\u00edtica monetaria&nbsp;<strong>se tiene que mantener restrictiva hasta que haya signos claros de que las presiones inflacionarias permanecer\u00e1n bajas por m\u00e1s tiempo.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El aumento de las tasas de inter\u00e9s se necesita en muchas econom\u00edas, incluyendo en Estados Unidos y en la Eurozona. Adem\u00e1s de que la Organizaci\u00f3n consider\u00f3 que se requiere un apoyo fiscal para los m\u00e1s necesitados a fin de que mitiguen el impacto de los altos precios de los alimentos y energ\u00e9ticos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Por lo que la OCDE afirm\u00f3 &#8220;la mejora del panorama econ\u00f3mico mundial es a\u00fan fr\u00e1gil. Los riesgos han tenido un mejor balance y permanecen inclinados a la baja. Mientras que hay incertidumbre y preocupaci\u00f3n sobre el curso de la guerra en Ucrania y las consecuencias que tendr\u00e1&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Con Informaci\u00f3n de SUN <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Por Redacci\u00f3n QP Luego del crecimiento de 3% del 2022, la econom\u00eda mexicana se desacelerar\u00e1&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":99387,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[56],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-99386","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ 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