{"id":98209,"date":"2023-01-23T15:18:54","date_gmt":"2023-01-23T15:18:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=98209"},"modified":"2023-01-23T15:18:57","modified_gmt":"2023-01-23T15:18:57","slug":"enfoque-litza-deniss-duran-espinosa-remesas-en-riesgo-por-recesion-en-estados-unidos-ceesp","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=98209","title":{"rendered":"Enfoque\/\/\/Litza Deniss Dur\u00e1n Espinosa\/\/\/Remesas, en riesgo por recesi\u00f3n en Estados Unidos: CEESP"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Por Litza Deniss Dur\u00e1n Espinosa<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Analista<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>El CEESP opina que la contracci\u00f3n que se prev\u00e9 en el pa\u00eds vecino afectar\u00e1 tambi\u00e9n a las exportaciones<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despu\u00e9s de un crecimiento econ\u00f3mico en M\u00e9xico estimado en alrededor de 3% para el a\u00f1o pasado, en 2023 se espera un estancamiento que, en parte,\u00a0<strong>se deber\u00e1 a la contracci\u00f3n esperada en Estados Unidos, lo que puede impactar a las remesas y las exportaciones<\/strong>, alert\u00f3 el Centro de Estudios Econ\u00f3micos del Sector Privado (CEESP).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En su An\u00e1lisis Econ\u00f3mico Ejecutivo semanal, los especialistas de la instituci\u00f3n aseguraron que<strong>\u00a0hay signos de que puede presentarse un nuevo estancamiento en el pa\u00ed<\/strong>s, lo que reflejan las estimaciones oportunas del Inegi para los \u00faltimos meses del a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Por ello, los economistas del CEESP afirmaron que &#8220;la contracci\u00f3n esperada en el mundo, especialmente en Estados Unidos, incidir\u00eda negativamente en la demanda agregada y el Producto Interno Bruto de M\u00e9xico tanto por la v\u00eda de las exportaciones, como quiz\u00e1 mediante menores remesas destinadas al consumo de los hogares mexicanos&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"679\" height=\"452\" src=\"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/image-16.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-98210\" srcset=\"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/image-16.jpeg 679w, https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/image-16-300x200.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/image-16-219x146.jpeg 219w, https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/image-16-50x33.jpeg 50w, https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/image-16-113x75.jpeg 113w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 679px) 100vw, 679px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Los incrementos anuales importantes de la actividad econ\u00f3mica que se registraron en el pa\u00eds a partir de agosto pasado se debieron sobre todo a un efecto aritm\u00e9tico de comparaci\u00f3n con un periodo de baja actividad en 2021, explic\u00f3 la instituci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Eso &#8220;llev\u00f3 a que los pron\u00f3sticos aumentaran para alcanzar un crecimiento de cerca de 3% para este a\u00f1o&#8221;, se\u00f1al\u00f3 el an\u00e1lisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Aun cuando dicho pron\u00f3stico de crecimiento es probable<strong>, la evoluci\u00f3n de algunos indicadores empieza a sugerir un nuevo episodio de estancamiento en los \u00faltimos meses de 2022<\/strong>, que han comenzado a notarse en las estimaciones oportunas del Inegi para los \u00faltimos meses del a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Adem\u00e1s,&nbsp;<strong>desde diciembre del a\u00f1o pasado se observ\u00f3 desaceleraci\u00f3n en el consumo a trav\u00e9s de tarjetas de cr\u00e9dito,<\/strong>&nbsp;que tuvo que ver con un impacto en el poder adquisitivo por la inflaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A ello se sum\u00f3 que<strong>&nbsp;en noviembre las remesas denominadas en pesos cayeron a tasa real anual de 11.1%,<\/strong>&nbsp;tras un crecimiento de apenas 0.1% en octubre de 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En la parte interna, se observa que la econom\u00eda mexicana registra una desaceleraci\u00f3n en el consumo nacional, as\u00ed como estancamiento en la inversi\u00f3n, destac\u00f3 el an\u00e1lisis del CEESP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Por ello, el organismo consider\u00f3 urgente &#8220;generar condiciones y pr\u00e1cticas econ\u00f3micas adecuadas para que la econom\u00eda funcione mejor, con menores costos y mayor productividad, adem\u00e1s de contar con los incentivos correctos para la inversi\u00f3n&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Con Informaci\u00f3n de SUN <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Por Litza Deniss Dur\u00e1n Espinosa Analista El CEESP opina que la contracci\u00f3n que se prev\u00e9&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":98211,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[56],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-98209","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Enfoque\/\/\/Litza Deniss Dur\u00e1n Espinosa\/\/\/Remesas, en riesgo por recesi\u00f3n en Estados Unidos: CEESP -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=98209\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" 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