{"id":130009,"date":"2026-04-01T13:29:38","date_gmt":"2026-04-01T19:29:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=130009"},"modified":"2026-04-01T13:36:13","modified_gmt":"2026-04-01T19:36:13","slug":"pib-de-mexico-crecera-menos-este-ano-y-la-inflacion-aumentara-a-4-22-estiman-especialistas-del-sector-privado","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=130009","title":{"rendered":"PIB de M\u00e9xico crecer\u00e1 menos este a\u00f1o y la inflaci\u00f3n aumentar\u00e1 a 4.22%, estiman especialistas del sector privado"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Por Redacci\u00f3n QP<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Los expertos hab\u00edan proyectado un incremento del 1.46% previamente, pero en la tercera encuesta mensual del Banco de M\u00e9xico dijeron que proyectaban 1.44%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Especialistas del sector privado<strong> redujeron al 1.44 % el pron\u00f3stico de crecimiento&nbsp;<\/strong>del producto interno bruto (PIB) mexicano para 2026, tras una estimaci\u00f3n previa del 1.46%, seg\u00fan indic\u00f3 este mi\u00e9rcoles la tercera encuesta mensual del a\u00f1o del&nbsp;<strong>Banco de M\u00e9xico<\/strong>&nbsp;(Banxico).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Asimismo, la&nbsp;<strong>previsi\u00f3n para 2027<\/strong>&nbsp;se redujo tambi\u00e9n para quedar en el 1.79% tras una estimaci\u00f3n anterior del 1.81%, de acuerdo con la media de los 41 grupos de<strong>&nbsp;an\u00e1lisis y consultor\u00eda nacionales y extranjeros<\/strong>&nbsp;consultados por el banco central, entre el 16 y el 26 de marzo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Estas proyecciones se difunden tras revelarse en marzo que<strong>&nbsp;el PIB de M\u00e9xico creci\u00f3 un 0.6%&nbsp;<\/strong>en 2025, y se elev\u00f3 un 1.8% de octubre a diciembre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Por otro lado, los expertos&nbsp;<strong>empeoraron la perspectiva de la inflaci\u00f3n<\/strong>&nbsp;general para el cierre de 2026 a una estimaci\u00f3n del 4.22% desde una previa del 3.98%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Esta previsi\u00f3n llega despu\u00e9s de que la<strong>tasa de inflaci\u00f3n bajara<\/strong>&nbsp;en 2025 al 3.69%, su&nbsp;<strong>menor nivel en cinco a\u00f1os.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Para 2027, los especialistas<strong>incrementaron la proyecci\u00f3n de la inflaci\u00f3n<\/strong>&nbsp;al 3.82 % ante el 3.78% anterior, por encima a\u00fan de la meta del 3% del banco central.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Como factores que podr\u00edan obstaculizar el crecimiento en M\u00e9xico en los pr\u00f3ximos seis meses, los expertos destacaron a<strong>&nbsp;nivel general la gobernanza<\/strong>&nbsp;(40 %), las&nbsp;<strong>condiciones econ\u00f3micas externas<\/strong>&nbsp;(25 %) y las&nbsp;<strong>condiciones<\/strong>&nbsp;<strong>internas<\/strong>&nbsp;(25 %).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mientras que a nivel particular resaltaron la<strong>&nbsp;inseguridad p\u00fablica<\/strong>&nbsp;(20 %), la&nbsp;<strong>pol\u00edtica sobre comercio exterior&nbsp;<\/strong>(14 %), la ausencia de un cambio estructural en M\u00e9xico (11 %), la corrupci\u00f3n (7 %) y otros problemas de falta de estado de derecho (7 %).&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Los analistas mejoraron levemente la<strong>perspectiva del tipo de cambio<\/strong>&nbsp;al estimar ahora que la moneda mexicana cerrar\u00e1 2026 en 18.11 unidades por d\u00f3lar, menor a la proyecci\u00f3n anterior de 18.12 pesos por billete estadounidense.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Para 2027, los especialistas calculan que<strong>&nbsp;la moneda mexicana se intercambiar\u00e1 en 18.65 unidades por d\u00f3lar<\/strong>, menor al estimado de 18.68 del mes anterior.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Por Redacci\u00f3n QP Los expertos hab\u00edan proyectado un incremento del 1.46% previamente, pero en la&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":130011,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[56],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-130009","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>PIB de M\u00e9xico crecer\u00e1 menos este a\u00f1o y la inflaci\u00f3n aumentar\u00e1 a 4.22%, estiman especialistas del sector privado -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=130009\" \/>\n<meta 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