{"id":112495,"date":"2024-09-12T05:22:55","date_gmt":"2024-09-12T05:22:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=112495"},"modified":"2024-09-12T05:23:02","modified_gmt":"2024-09-12T05:23:02","slug":"tras-la-aprobacion-de-la-reforma-judicial-en-el-senado-la-agencia-moodys-advirtio-que-esas-modificaciones-constitucionales-deterioraran-los-controles-y-equilibrios","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=112495","title":{"rendered":"Tras la aprobaci\u00f3n de la reforma judicial en el Senado, la agencia Moody\u2019s advirti\u00f3 que esas modificaciones constitucionales deteriorar\u00e1n los controles y equilibrios"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Por Redacci\u00f3n QP<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>La agencia Moody\u2019s advirti\u00f3 que esas modificaciones constitucionales deteriorar\u00e1n los controles y equilibrios<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tras la\u00a0aprobaci\u00f3n de la reforma judicial en\u00a0<strong>M\u00e9xico<\/strong>, para elegir a los\u00a0<strong>juzgadores<\/strong>\u00a0mediante voto popular, la\u00a0agencia <strong>Moody\u2019s<\/strong> advirti\u00f3 que esas modificaciones constitucionales deteriorar\u00e1n los controles y equilibrios, y podr\u00eda socavar la fortaleza econ\u00f3mica y fiscal del pa\u00eds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En un an\u00e1lisis distribuido a medios, la agencia record\u00f3 que este 11 de septiembre la&nbsp;<strong>C\u00e1mara de Senadores de M\u00e9xico<\/strong>&nbsp;aprob\u00f3 formalmente la reforma constitucional \u201ctransformadora y controvertida que deteriorar\u00e1 la independencia del poder judicial del pa\u00eds\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Record\u00f3 que la nueva ley \u201cpodr\u00eda politizar los dict\u00e1menes de la&nbsp;<strong>Corte Federal<\/strong>&nbsp;y la<strong>&nbsp;Suprema Corte de Justicia de la Naci\u00f3n<\/strong>(SCJN), adem\u00e1s de comprometer la independencia del sistema\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cLas implicaciones crediticias de los cambios podr\u00edan ser&nbsp;<strong>significativas<\/strong>&nbsp;para la calidad crediticia soberana de M\u00e9xico, m\u00e1s moderadas para las empresas financieras y no financieras calificadas, as\u00ed como para las compa\u00f1\u00edas el\u00e9ctricas y de infraestructura, y relativamente bajas para los bancos\u201d, apunt\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Se\u00f1al\u00f3 que la reforma \u201cdeteriorar\u00e1 los controles y equilibrios y podr\u00eda socavar la&nbsp;<strong>fortaleza<\/strong>&nbsp;econ\u00f3mica y fiscal de M\u00e9xico\u201d.<br>Agreg\u00f3 que \u201ca medida que el poder judicial se realinea cada vez m\u00e1s con los poderes&nbsp;<strong>ejecutivo<\/strong>&nbsp;y&nbsp;<strong>legislativo<\/strong>, su papel en el control y equilibrio de las otras ramas de poder se deteriorar\u00e1\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Moody\u2019s destac\u00f3 que \u201cla preocupaci\u00f3n de los inversionistas por la&nbsp;<strong>incertidumbre<\/strong>&nbsp;jur\u00eddica ha contribuido a la volatilidad financiera en el corto plazo\u201d, y un \u2018shock\u2019 de confianza prolongado podr\u00eda ampliar los diferenciales gubernamentales \u201cy frenar la inversi\u00f3n privada, lo que presionar\u00eda la asequibilidad de la deuda y las perspectivas de crecimiento para 2025 en adelante\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cLos cambios en el sistema judicial y regulatorio de&nbsp;<strong>M\u00e9xico<\/strong>generar\u00edan m\u00e1s incertidumbre en sus proyectos de infraestructura\u201d, dijo la agencia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ademas, destac\u00f3 que la eliminaci\u00f3n de organismos reguladores independientes, una propuesta que se considerar\u00e1 despu\u00e9s de la reforma judicial, \u201caumentar\u00eda la&nbsp;<strong>incertidumbre<\/strong>&nbsp;en torno a las normas y procedimientos, y har\u00eda que el sector de infraestructura de M\u00e9xico sea menos atractivo para la inversi\u00f3n privada, a pesar de las s\u00f3lidas perspectivas de demanda\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Expuso que \u201ccuanto mayor sea la&nbsp;<strong>percepci\u00f3n<\/strong>&nbsp;del riesgo, m\u00e1s alta ser\u00e1 la rentabilidad de las inversiones que buscar\u00e1n los inversionistas y m\u00e1s elevados ser\u00e1n los costos adicionales derivados del an\u00e1lisis legal y la diligencia debida\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tambi\u00e9n dijo&nbsp;<strong>Moody\u2019s<\/strong>&nbsp;que \u201cla incertidumbre jur\u00eddica probablemente afectar\u00e1 m\u00e1s a los sectores corporativos de M\u00e9xico que dependen de concesiones y grandes inversiones, como la miner\u00eda y las telecomunicaciones\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cLos cambios en el sistema judicial ser\u00edan particularmente perjudiciales para las&nbsp;<strong>futuras<\/strong>&nbsp;<strong>inversiones<\/strong>&nbsp;en \u2018nearshoring\u2019, (el fen\u00f3meno de relocalizaci\u00f3n de cadenas)\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Y \u201csi la incertidumbre sigue presionando el peso mexicano, esto tambi\u00e9n perjudicar\u00eda los&nbsp;<strong>indicadores<\/strong>&nbsp;crediticios de las empresas que calculan sus costos en d\u00f3lares estadounidenses y generan ingresos en pesos, o de aquellas con baja diversificaci\u00f3n fuera de M\u00e9xico\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Durante la madrugada de este mi\u00e9rcoles, los\u00a0<strong>senadores<\/strong> mexicanos aprobaron en lo general y particular la reforma constitucional del presidente,\u00a0<strong>Andr\u00e9s Manuel L\u00f3pez Obrador<\/strong>, para que haya elecciones de jueces, magistrados y ministros de la Suprema Corte por voto popular, as\u00ed como un \u00f3rgano disciplinario que revise el actuar de los juzgadores.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>El aval, conseguido en la&nbsp;<strong>C\u00e1mara alta del Congreso<\/strong>, se sum\u00f3 al obtenido una semana antes de la C\u00e1mara de diputados, por lo que solo resta su aprobaci\u00f3n en al menos 17 de los 32 congresos locales y la firma de L\u00f3pez Obrador para publicarse en el Diario Oficial de la Federaci\u00f3n (DOF).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Con informaci\u00f3n de EFE<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Por Redacci\u00f3n QP La agencia Moody\u2019s advirti\u00f3 que esas modificaciones constitucionales deteriorar\u00e1n los controles y&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":112496,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[56],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-112495","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Tras la aprobaci\u00f3n de la reforma judicial en el Senado, la agencia Moody\u2019s advirti\u00f3 que 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