{"id":107968,"date":"2024-02-02T23:27:29","date_gmt":"2024-02-02T23:27:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=107968"},"modified":"2024-02-02T23:27:31","modified_gmt":"2024-02-02T23:27:31","slug":"estiman-que-reforma-de-pensiones-podria-costar-430-mil-mdp-y-se-elevaria","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=107968","title":{"rendered":"Estiman que Reforma de pensiones podr\u00eda costar 430 mil MDP y se elevar\u00eda"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Por Redacci\u00f3n QP<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Esto es lo que explican bancos sobre la propuesta del Presidente Andr\u00e9s Manuel L\u00f3pez Obrador<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Aumentar a 100% la pensi\u00f3n que reciban los trabajadores, tal como lo ha propuesto el Presidente\u00a0 Andres Manuel L\u00f3pez Obrador, tendr\u00eda un costo fiscal de al menos 430 mil millones de pesos, el cual ir\u00e1 aumentando en los pr\u00f3ximos a\u00f1os, estim\u00f3\u00a0<strong>Citibanamex<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Realizamos estimaciones ilustrativas de los dilemas que esta propuesta enfrenta.&nbsp;<strong>Se observa que los costos fiscales exclusivamente adicionales a los que ya son previsibles en la situaci\u00f3n actual podr\u00edan representar 430 mil millones de pesos en 2025<\/strong>&nbsp;(1.3% del PIB), y que aumentar\u00edan r\u00e1pidamente hacia 2% del PIB en menos de 10 a\u00f1os&#8221;, indic\u00f3 la firma.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En un an\u00e1lisis sobre el costo fiscal de una posible reforma al sistema de pensiones, Citibanamex consider\u00f3 que la propuesta\u00a0<strong>no tiene sentido si no se focaliza y justifica a qu\u00e9 trabajadores se quiere ayudar<\/strong>, reconociendo los sesgos actuales de la pol\u00edtica social, como los casos de apoyos a personas de la tercera edad, abandono de la ni\u00f1ez; pagos en efectivo en lugar de dotaci\u00f3n de servicios de calidad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Pretender una tasa de reemplazo de 100% es excesivo cuando se observa lo que otros pa\u00edses hacen y cuando se reconocen las muy diferentes necesidades entre personas de la tercera edad y las m\u00e1s j\u00f3venes. Sobre todo, debe reconocerse que el gran problema de los sistemas de pensiones en M\u00e9xico es la magnitud del sector informal, que da al traste con los a\u00f1os de cotizaci\u00f3n que una persona realiza durante su vida laboral:&nbsp;<strong>el trabajador t\u00edpico s\u00f3lo cotiza la mitad de los a\u00f1os que trabaja<\/strong>&#8220;, se\u00f1al\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Se espera que el pr\u00f3ximo 5 de febrero, el Presidente L\u00f3pez Obrador presente en detalle su propuesta de\u00a0reforma de pensiones, la cual, seg\u00fan ha adelantado,<strong>\u00a0recaer\u00eda totalmente con cargo a las finanzas p\u00fablicas.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Seg\u00fan Banamex, es probable que la iniciativa&nbsp;<strong>est\u00e9 en l\u00ednea con la reforma de pensiones presentada en 2020, y que a su vez respete algunos puntos de las modificaciones hechas en 2007 y 1997.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;En conclusi\u00f3n, buscar que las personas se pensionen con 100% de sus \u00faltimos salarios, no se alcanzar\u00eda con el sistema actual, ni en 2063, aun bajo los supuestos de 40 a\u00f1os de cotizaci\u00f3n&#8221;, sostuvo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Con informaci\u00f3n de SUN<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Por Redacci\u00f3n QP Esto es lo que explican bancos sobre la propuesta del Presidente Andr\u00e9s&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":107969,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-107968","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-noticias"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Estiman que Reforma de pensiones podr\u00eda costar 430 mil MDP y se elevar\u00eda -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=107968\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_MX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Estiman que Reforma de pensiones podr\u00eda costar 430 mil MDP y se elevar\u00eda -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Por Redacci\u00f3n QP Esto es lo que explican bancos sobre la propuesta del Presidente Andr\u00e9s...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=107968\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-02-02T23:27:29+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-02-02T23:27:31+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/IMG_3471.jpeg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"739\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"415\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Redacci\u00f3n QP\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Escrito por\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Redacci\u00f3n QP\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tiempo de lectura\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutos\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/quehacerpolitico.mx\\\/?p=107968#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/quehacerpolitico.mx\\\/?p=107968\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Redacci\u00f3n QP\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/quehacerpolitico.mx\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/496d8ad2d1d3f8036101dca7ee39e585\"},\"headline\":\"Estiman que Reforma de pensiones podr\u00eda costar 430 mil MDP y se elevar\u00eda\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-02-02T23:27:29+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-02-02T23:27:31+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/quehacerpolitico.mx\\\/?p=107968\"},\"wordCount\":419,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/quehacerpolitico.mx\\\/?p=107968#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/quehacerpolitico.mx\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/02\\\/IMG_3471.jpeg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Noticias\"],\"inLanguage\":\"es\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/quehacerpolitico.mx\\\/?p=107968#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/quehacerpolitico.mx\\\/?p=107968\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/quehacerpolitico.mx\\\/?p=107968\",\"name\":\"Estiman que Reforma de pensiones podr\u00eda costar 430 mil MDP y se elevar\u00eda -\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/quehacerpolitico.mx\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/quehacerpolitico.mx\\\/?p=107968#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/quehacerpolitico.mx\\\/?p=107968#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/quehacerpolitico.mx\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/02\\\/IMG_3471.jpeg\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-02-02T23:27:29+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-02-02T23:27:31+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/quehacerpolitico.mx\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/496d8ad2d1d3f8036101dca7ee39e585\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/quehacerpolitico.mx\\\/?p=107968#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"es\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/quehacerpolitico.mx\\\/?p=107968\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"es\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/quehacerpolitico.mx\\\/?p=107968#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/quehacerpolitico.mx\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/02\\\/IMG_3471.jpeg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/quehacerpolitico.mx\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/02\\\/IMG_3471.jpeg\",\"width\":739,\"height\":415},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/quehacerpolitico.mx\\\/?p=107968#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Inicio\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/quehacerpolitico.mx\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Estiman que Reforma de pensiones podr\u00eda costar 430 mil MDP y se elevar\u00eda\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/quehacerpolitico.mx\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/quehacerpolitico.mx\\\/\",\"name\":\"\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/quehacerpolitico.mx\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"es\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/quehacerpolitico.mx\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/496d8ad2d1d3f8036101dca7ee39e585\",\"name\":\"Redacci\u00f3n QP\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"es\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/c7164ed6fdec453195284ad24a5ae5b6e1eed2b848477fa2a4787ba9adf39a41?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/c7164ed6fdec453195284ad24a5ae5b6e1eed2b848477fa2a4787ba9adf39a41?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/c7164ed6fdec453195284ad24a5ae5b6e1eed2b848477fa2a4787ba9adf39a41?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"Redacci\u00f3n QP\"},\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/quehacerpolitico.mx\\\/?author=2\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Estiman que Reforma de pensiones podr\u00eda costar 430 mil MDP y se elevar\u00eda -","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=107968","og_locale":"es_MX","og_type":"article","og_title":"Estiman que Reforma de pensiones podr\u00eda costar 430 mil MDP y se elevar\u00eda -","og_description":"Por Redacci\u00f3n QP Esto es lo que explican bancos sobre la propuesta del Presidente Andr\u00e9s...","og_url":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=107968","article_published_time":"2024-02-02T23:27:29+00:00","article_modified_time":"2024-02-02T23:27:31+00:00","og_image":[{"width":739,"height":415,"url":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/IMG_3471.jpeg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Redacci\u00f3n QP","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Escrito por":"Redacci\u00f3n QP","Tiempo de lectura":"2 minutos"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=107968#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=107968"},"author":{"name":"Redacci\u00f3n QP","@id":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/#\/schema\/person\/496d8ad2d1d3f8036101dca7ee39e585"},"headline":"Estiman que Reforma de pensiones podr\u00eda costar 430 mil MDP y se elevar\u00eda","datePublished":"2024-02-02T23:27:29+00:00","dateModified":"2024-02-02T23:27:31+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=107968"},"wordCount":419,"commentCount":0,"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=107968#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/IMG_3471.jpeg","articleSection":["Noticias"],"inLanguage":"es","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=107968#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=107968","url":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=107968","name":"Estiman que Reforma de pensiones podr\u00eda costar 430 mil MDP y se elevar\u00eda -","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=107968#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=107968#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/IMG_3471.jpeg","datePublished":"2024-02-02T23:27:29+00:00","dateModified":"2024-02-02T23:27:31+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/#\/schema\/person\/496d8ad2d1d3f8036101dca7ee39e585"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=107968#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"es","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=107968"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"es","@id":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=107968#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/IMG_3471.jpeg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/IMG_3471.jpeg","width":739,"height":415},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=107968#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Inicio","item":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Estiman que Reforma de pensiones podr\u00eda costar 430 mil MDP y se elevar\u00eda"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/#website","url":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/","name":"","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"es"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/#\/schema\/person\/496d8ad2d1d3f8036101dca7ee39e585","name":"Redacci\u00f3n QP","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"es","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/c7164ed6fdec453195284ad24a5ae5b6e1eed2b848477fa2a4787ba9adf39a41?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/c7164ed6fdec453195284ad24a5ae5b6e1eed2b848477fa2a4787ba9adf39a41?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/c7164ed6fdec453195284ad24a5ae5b6e1eed2b848477fa2a4787ba9adf39a41?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Redacci\u00f3n QP"},"url":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?author=2"}]}},"featured_image_urls":{"full":["https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/IMG_3471.jpeg",739,415,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/IMG_3471-150x150.jpeg",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/IMG_3471-300x168.jpeg",300,168,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/IMG_3471.jpeg",640,359,false],"large":["https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/IMG_3471.jpeg",640,359,false],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/IMG_3471.jpeg",739,415,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/IMG_3471.jpeg",739,415,false],"covernews-featured":["https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/IMG_3471.jpeg",739,415,false],"covernews-medium":["https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/IMG_3471.jpeg",540,303,false]},"author_info":{"display_name":"Redacci\u00f3n QP","author_link":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?author=2"},"category_info":"<a href=\"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?cat=2\" rel=\"category\">Noticias<\/a>","tag_info":"Noticias","comment_count":"0","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107968","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=107968"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107968\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":107970,"href":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107968\/revisions\/107970"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/107969"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=107968"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=107968"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=107968"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}