{"id":107324,"date":"2024-01-02T17:52:57","date_gmt":"2024-01-02T17:52:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=107324"},"modified":"2024-01-02T17:52:59","modified_gmt":"2024-01-02T17:52:59","slug":"desentranando-los-movimientos-del-mercado-pedro-tiburcio-descifrando-oportunidades-en-los-mercados-emergentes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=107324","title":{"rendered":"Desentra\u00f1ando los movimientos del mercado\/\/\/Pedro Tiburcio\/\/\/Descifrando Oportunidades en los Mercados Emergentes"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Por Pedro Tiburcio<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Analista Financiero<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En el fascinante universo de las inversiones, donde cada gr\u00e1fico y movimiento del mercado cuenta una historia \u00fanica, surge una pregunta&nbsp;apasionante: \u00bfD\u00f3nde se esconde la oportunidad en esta fase de m\u00e1ximos hist\u00f3ricos? Como exploradores del terreno financiero, debemos buscar m\u00e1s all\u00e1 de la codicia para desentra\u00f1ar las posibilidades ocultas en los pliegues del mercado burs\u00e1til.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En este emocionante viaje, recordemos que en los mercados financieros se negocia hasta la esencia misma de los pa\u00edses. Los&nbsp;mercados&nbsp;emergentes, hermanados con las materias primas, comparten un ciclo vital: una&nbsp;<strong>resurrecci\u00f3n<\/strong>&nbsp;seguida de un&nbsp;<strong>ajuste<\/strong>. Esta danza c\u00edclica, tan peculiar como inevitable, sostiene la premisa de que, con el paso del tiempo, estos pa\u00edses pueden quedar atrapados en un rango de precios monumental. Una danza cuyos compases resuenan, en gran medida, en la sinfon\u00eda econ\u00f3mica actual, donde los pa\u00edses desarrollados dependen de las materias primas extra\u00eddas de las tierras emergentes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En el escenario mundial, China emerge como un protagonista destacado. Desde el mandato de Donald Trump, se intu\u00eda un intento de frenar el imparable desarrollo financiero y tecnol\u00f3gico chino. Para analizar este pulso burs\u00e1til, dirigimos nuestra mirada al ETF\u00a0<strong>EEM<\/strong>, que abarca los principales pa\u00edses emergentes, con una destacada presencia\u00a0China del 26%. M\u00e9xico y Brasil, pese a sus logros, representan apenas un 5.81% y un 2.76%, respectivamente, desde la \u00f3rbita occidental.\u00a0A continuaci\u00f3n, est\u00e1\u00a0la imagen proporcionada por Black Rock al 28 de diciembre, que detalla la distribuci\u00f3n del ETF EEM<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><div class=\"wpcp-wp-lightbox-host wpcp-advanced-image-lightbox-icon-hover\"><a href=\"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image.jpeg\" data-src=\"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image.jpeg\" data-thumb=\"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image.jpeg\" class=\"ml-lightbox-enabled\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1005\" height=\"532\" src=\"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-107325\" srcset=\"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image.jpeg 1005w, https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-300x159.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-768x407.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-260x138.jpeg 260w, https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-50x26.jpeg 50w, https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-142x75.jpeg 142w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1005px) 100vw, 1005px\" \/><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image.jpeg\" data-fancybox=\"wpcp-wp-img-107325\" class=\"wpcp-lightbox-trigger wpcp-advanced-image-lightbox-icon wpcp-position-top-right wpcp-advanced-image-lightbox-icon-hover wpcp-global-lightbox-icon wpcp-lightbox-icon--global wpcp-lb-icon-style-default\" data-wpcp-lb-icon-source=\"global\" aria-label=\"Open image in lightbox\" data-thumb-src=\"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-300x159.jpeg\" data-wpcp-lb-single=\"1\"><span class=\"wpcp-icon-container\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 20 20\"><path d=\"M17.6585 16.025L14.2437 12.6198C15.1716 11.3338 15.6121 9.7613 15.4871 8.1819C15.362 6.60251 14.6795 5.11847 13.5607 3.99351C12.936 3.36206 12.1916 2.86066 11.3709 2.51845C10.5502 2.17623 9.66952 2 8.77995 2C7.89039 2 7.00969 2.17623 6.18899 2.51845C5.36829 2.86066 4.62395 3.36206 3.99919 3.99351C3.36594 4.61649 2.86312 5.35871 2.51992 6.17708C2.17673 6.99545 2 7.87365 2 8.76068C2 9.64772 2.17673 10.5259 2.51992 11.3443C2.86312 12.1627 3.36594 12.9049 3.99919 13.5279C5.11957 14.6901 6.62279 15.4103 8.23285 15.5562C9.84291 15.7022 11.4517 15.2641 12.7639 14.3224L16.1788 17.7275C16.3849 17.9034 16.6473 18 16.9186 18C17.1899 18 17.4523 17.9034 17.6585 17.7275C18.1138 17.16 18.1138 16.5925 17.6585 16.025ZM5.59278 12.0523C5.16258 11.6298 4.82094 11.1263 4.58774 10.5709C4.35455 10.0156 4.23446 9.41951 4.23446 8.81744C4.23446 8.21536 4.35455 7.6193 4.58774 7.06394C4.82094 6.50859 5.16258 6.00503 5.59278 5.58257C6.01644 5.15359 6.52144 4.81292 7.07838 4.58039C7.63532 4.34786 8.23308 4.22811 8.83687 4.22811C9.44066 4.22811 10.0384 4.34786 10.5954 4.58039C11.1523 4.81292 11.6573 5.15359 12.081 5.58257C12.5112 6.00503 12.8528 6.50859 13.086 7.06394C13.3192 7.6193 13.4393 8.21536 13.4393 8.81744C13.4393 9.41951 13.3192 10.0156 13.086 10.5709C12.8528 11.1263 12.5112 11.6298 12.081 12.0523C11.6573 12.4813 11.1523 12.822 10.5954 13.0545C10.0384 13.287 9.44066 13.4068 8.83687 13.4068C8.23308 13.4068 7.63532 13.287 7.07838 13.0545C6.52144 12.822 6.01644 12.4813 5.59278 12.0523Z\" \/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En la arena de la guerra econ\u00f3mica entre China y Estados Unidos, Wall Street ostenta la victoria moment\u00e1nea, cotizando en m\u00e1ximos hist\u00f3ricos mientras China afronta desaf\u00edos. Sin embargo, M\u00e9xico ha cosechado frutos con el &#8220;nearshoring&#8221;. En ese abismo se gesta la oportunidad, especialmente al considerar que muchas de las joyas empresariales chinas tienen valuaciones&nbsp;irresistibles. Alibaba, tras un desplome del 76%, y Tencent, con una ca\u00edda del 68%, son ejemplos palpables.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Desde nuestra perspectiva, la gr\u00e1fica&nbsp;adjunta de los mercados emergentes&nbsp;revela una oportunidad en gestaci\u00f3n. El precio roza el l\u00edmite inferior de un rango clave, con 36.38 USD como soporte fundamental. Mientras el mercado resista valores inferiores, nuestros objetivos se sit\u00faan en 45.89 USD y 48.81 USD, representando un jugoso rendimiento del 20% en d\u00f3lares.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Este ETF cuenta con dos aliados apalancados:&nbsp;<strong>EDC<\/strong>, que opera con un apalancamiento de 3 a 1 al alza, y&nbsp;<strong>EDZ<\/strong>, con la misma proporci\u00f3n a la baja. Para quienes deseen enfocarse exclusivamente en China, el ETF&nbsp;<strong>MCHI<\/strong>&nbsp;ofrece sus propios compa\u00f1eros de viaje:&nbsp;<strong>YINN<\/strong>, con un apalancamiento de 3 a 1 al alza, y&nbsp;<strong>YANG<\/strong>, de igual proporci\u00f3n a la baja.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mantente alerta al comportamiento de los mercados emergentes, ya que continuaremos&nbsp;exponiendo&nbsp;las futuras actualizaciones en esta columna. Comparte esta informaci\u00f3n y prep\u00e1rate para un 2024 exitoso en tus operaciones de trading e inversi\u00f3n.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En el abismo, la oportunidad aguarda, lista para ser descubierta por aquellos que se aventuren m\u00e1s all\u00e1 de la superficie de los m\u00e1ximos hist\u00f3ricos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pedro Tiburcio<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Analista Senior de Elliott Wave M\u00e9xico<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">@ptiburon\u00a0twitter\/X<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><div class=\"wpcp-wp-lightbox-host wpcp-advanced-image-lightbox-icon-hover\"><a href=\"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-1.jpeg\" data-src=\"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-1.jpeg\" data-thumb=\"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-1.jpeg\" class=\"ml-lightbox-enabled\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"927\" height=\"523\" src=\"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-1.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-107326\" srcset=\"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-1.jpeg 927w, https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-1-300x169.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-1-768x433.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-1-260x146.jpeg 260w, https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-1-50x28.jpeg 50w, https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-1-133x75.jpeg 133w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 927px) 100vw, 927px\" \/><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-1.jpeg\" data-fancybox=\"wpcp-wp-img-107326\" class=\"wpcp-lightbox-trigger wpcp-advanced-image-lightbox-icon wpcp-position-top-right wpcp-advanced-image-lightbox-icon-hover wpcp-global-lightbox-icon wpcp-lightbox-icon--global wpcp-lb-icon-style-default\" data-wpcp-lb-icon-source=\"global\" aria-label=\"Open image in lightbox\" data-thumb-src=\"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-1-300x169.jpeg\" data-wpcp-lb-single=\"1\"><span class=\"wpcp-icon-container\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 20 20\"><path d=\"M17.6585 16.025L14.2437 12.6198C15.1716 11.3338 15.6121 9.7613 15.4871 8.1819C15.362 6.60251 14.6795 5.11847 13.5607 3.99351C12.936 3.36206 12.1916 2.86066 11.3709 2.51845C10.5502 2.17623 9.66952 2 8.77995 2C7.89039 2 7.00969 2.17623 6.18899 2.51845C5.36829 2.86066 4.62395 3.36206 3.99919 3.99351C3.36594 4.61649 2.86312 5.35871 2.51992 6.17708C2.17673 6.99545 2 7.87365 2 8.76068C2 9.64772 2.17673 10.5259 2.51992 11.3443C2.86312 12.1627 3.36594 12.9049 3.99919 13.5279C5.11957 14.6901 6.62279 15.4103 8.23285 15.5562C9.84291 15.7022 11.4517 15.2641 12.7639 14.3224L16.1788 17.7275C16.3849 17.9034 16.6473 18 16.9186 18C17.1899 18 17.4523 17.9034 17.6585 17.7275C18.1138 17.16 18.1138 16.5925 17.6585 16.025ZM5.59278 12.0523C5.16258 11.6298 4.82094 11.1263 4.58774 10.5709C4.35455 10.0156 4.23446 9.41951 4.23446 8.81744C4.23446 8.21536 4.35455 7.6193 4.58774 7.06394C4.82094 6.50859 5.16258 6.00503 5.59278 5.58257C6.01644 5.15359 6.52144 4.81292 7.07838 4.58039C7.63532 4.34786 8.23308 4.22811 8.83687 4.22811C9.44066 4.22811 10.0384 4.34786 10.5954 4.58039C11.1523 4.81292 11.6573 5.15359 12.081 5.58257C12.5112 6.00503 12.8528 6.50859 13.086 7.06394C13.3192 7.6193 13.4393 8.21536 13.4393 8.81744C13.4393 9.41951 13.3192 10.0156 13.086 10.5709C12.8528 11.1263 12.5112 11.6298 12.081 12.0523C11.6573 12.4813 11.1523 12.822 10.5954 13.0545C10.0384 13.287 9.44066 13.4068 8.83687 13.4068C8.23308 13.4068 7.63532 13.287 7.07838 13.0545C6.52144 12.822 6.01644 12.4813 5.59278 12.0523Z\" \/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Link&nbsp;del gr\u00e1fico cortes\u00eda de&nbsp;Tradingview<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/WhDXNFVZ\/\">https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/WhDXNFVZ\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As\u00ed el Quehacer Pol\u00edtico de los mercados financieros a trav\u00e9s del an\u00e1lisis t\u00e9cnico con Pedro Tiburcio, desentra\u00f1ando los movimientos del mercado, inquiriendo en la pol\u00edtica de M\u00e9xico, cuestionando, exponiendo, revelando y razonando.Es cuanto.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Por Pedro Tiburcio Analista Financiero En el fascinante universo de las inversiones, donde cada gr\u00e1fico&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":107327,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[56],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-107324","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Desentra\u00f1ando los movimientos del mercado\/\/\/Pedro Tiburcio\/\/\/Descifrando Oportunidades en los Mercados Emergentes -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/quehacerpolitico.mx\/?p=107324\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_MX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Desentra\u00f1ando los 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